Middleweight
3 Rounds
Anthony Hernandez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 22, 2025·Seattle, Washington, USA, USA
Style matchupBrendan Allen: Submission grapplervsAnthony Hernandez: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Anthony Hernandez wins(53.3%)
Actual result: Anthony Hernandez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brendan Allen threatens submissions; Anthony Hernandez has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Tale of the Tape
Brendan Allen
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Hernandez
Blue Corner
+270
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-335
(77%)
30
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brendan AllenW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Paul Craig · Nov 23W
vs Chris Curtis · Apr 24L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 24W
vs Marvin Vettori · Jul 25W
KOvs Reinier de Ridder · Oct 25Anthony Hernandez
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · May 23W
SUBvs Roman Kopylov · Feb 24W
KOvs Michel Pereira · Oct 24W
SUBvs Roman Dolidze · Aug 25L
KOvs Sean Strickland · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brendan AllenMetricAnthony Hernandez
3.59
Strikes / min
4.57
3.62
Strikes absorbed / min
3.10
47%
Strike defense
51%
1.56
TDs / 15 min
5.88
56%
Takedown defense
68%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.03Δ 1.50 — meaningful gap+1.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brendan AllenAnthony Hernandez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brendan Allen(10 fights)Anthony Hernandez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+43.2-43.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Brendan Allen
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights18
Anthony Hernandez
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12