Middleweight
3 Rounds
Chris Curtis won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 4, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupBrendan Allen: Submission grapplervsChris Curtis: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Brendan Allen wins(52.2%)
Actual result: Chris Curtis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Curtis is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Brendan Allen has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Brendan Allen
Red Corner
VS
Chris Curtis
Blue Corner
-365
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+280
(26%)
30
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brendan AllenW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Chris Curtis · Apr 24L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 24L
vs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 25W
vs Marvin Vettori · Jul 25W
KOvs Reinier de Ridder · Oct 25Chris Curtis
oldest →latest
W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jan 24L
vs Brendan Allen · Apr 24L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Jan 25W
vs Max Griffin · Jul 25L
vs Myktybek Orolbai · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brendan AllenMetricChris Curtis
3.59
Strikes / min
5.52
3.62
Strikes absorbed / min
5.75
47%
Strike defense
54%
1.56
TDs / 15 min
0.00
56%
Takedown defense
64%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.03evenly matched on net striking-0.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brendan AllenChris Curtis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brendan Allen(10 fights)Chris Curtis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+56.9-56.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+105.0-105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
Brendan Allen
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights18
Chris Curtis
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11