Middleweight
3 Rounds
Brendan Allen won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Friday, October 18, 2019·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupBrendan Allen: Submission grapplervsKevin Holland: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Brendan Allen wins(59.4%)
Actual result: Brendan Allen wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kevin Holland has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Brendan Allen
Red Corner
VS
Kevin Holland
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
30
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
205.74 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brendan AllenW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Chris Curtis · Apr 24L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 24L
vs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 25W
vs Marvin Vettori · Jul 25W
KOvs Reinier de Ridder · Oct 25Kevin HollandL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Jan 25W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25W
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 25L
vs Mike Malott · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brendan AllenMetricKevin Holland
3.59
Strikes / min
4.24
3.62
Strikes absorbed / min
3.21
47%
Strike defense
50%
1.56
TDs / 15 min
0.79
56%
Takedown defense
57%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.03Δ 1.06 — meaningful gap+1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brendan AllenKevin Holland
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brendan Allen(10 fights)Kevin Holland(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-41.741.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+48.1-48.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.6-49.6
Brendan Allen
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights18
Kevin Holland
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights27