Lightweight
3 Rounds
Mike Wilkinson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Friday, December 14, 2012·Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia, Australia
Model Prediction: Brendan Loughnane wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Mike Wilkinson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brendan Loughnane has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Brendan Loughnane has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Brendan Loughnane has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Brendan Loughnane
Red Corner
VS
Mike Wilkinson
Blue Corner
+210
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-230
(70%)
36
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Switch
5'10"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brendan LoughnaneNo prior UFC fights on record.
Mike Wilkinson
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Rony Jason · Jun 13W
KOvs Niklas Backstrom · Oct 14L
vs Makwan Amirkhani · Feb 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brendan LoughnaneMetricMike Wilkinson
6.23
Strikes / min
2.35
6.70
Strikes absorbed / min
3.70
53%
Strike defense
35%
1.50
TDs / 15 min
0.92
92%
Takedown defense
55%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.47evenly matched on net striking-1.35
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brendan Loughnane(1 fights)Mike Wilkinson(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Brendan Loughnane
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights1
Mike Wilkinson
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights4