Welterweight
3 Rounds
Alan Jouban won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 19, 2016·Brisbane, Queensland, Australia, Australia
Style matchupBrendan O'Reilly: WrestlervsAlan Jouban: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Brendan O'Reilly wins(51.1%)
Actual result: Alan Jouban wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alan Jouban has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alan Jouban has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alan Jouban (53.5%).
- Alan Jouban has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Brendan O'Reilly
Red Corner
VS
Alan Jouban
Blue Corner
+415
(19%)
Vegas Odds
-525
(84%)
38
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
6'0"
175.26 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brendan O'Reilly
oldest →latest
L
vs Zhang Lipeng · Aug 14W
vs Vik Grujic · May 15L
vs Dong Hyun Ma · Dec 16Alan Jouban
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 17L
KOvs Niko Price · Aug 17W
KOvs Ben Saunders · Feb 18L
vs Dwight Grant · Apr 19W
vs Jared Gooden · Nov 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brendan O'ReillyMetricAlan Jouban
1.90
Strikes / min
5.67
2.77
Strikes absorbed / min
3.77
39%
Strike defense
60%
2.22
TDs / 15 min
0.51
36%
Takedown defense
58%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.87Δ 2.77 — meaningful gap+1.90
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brendan O'ReillyAlan Jouban
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brendan O'Reilly(4 fights)Alan Jouban(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-17.317.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+147.0-147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Brendan O'Reilly
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights4
Alan Jouban
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13