Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ben Rothwell won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 21, 2012·Atlanta, Georgia, USA, USA
Style matchupBrendan Schaub: WrestlervsBen Rothwell: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Brendan Schaub wins(61.7%)
Actual result: Ben Rothwell wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brendan Schaub has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Brendan Schaub
Red Corner
VS
Ben Rothwell
Blue Corner
-215
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
43
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
198.12 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brendan SchaubL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Minotauro Nogueira · Aug 11W
vs Lavar Johnson · Feb 13W
SUBvs Matt Mitrione · Sep 13L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Jun 14L
KOvs Travis Browne · Dec 14Ben Rothwell
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Stefan Struve · Dec 19W
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 20L
vs Marcin Tybura · Oct 20W
SUBvs Chris Barnett · May 21L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Nov 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brendan SchaubMetricBen Rothwell
2.92
Strikes / min
3.71
2.22
Strikes absorbed / min
4.63
57%
Strike defense
47%
2.32
TDs / 15 min
0.68
72%
Takedown defense
70%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.70Δ 1.62 — meaningful gap-0.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brendan SchaubBen Rothwell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brendan Schaub(10 fights)Ben Rothwell(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+35.5-35.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Brendan Schaub
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights10
Ben Rothwell
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights16