Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Brendan Schaub won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Sunday, March 21, 2010·Broomfield, Colorado, USA, USA
Style matchupBrendan Schaub: WrestlervsChase Gormley: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Brendan Schaub wins(69.8%)
Actual result: Brendan Schaub wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brendan Schaub has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Brendan Schaub has 72pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Brendan Schaub
Red Corner
VS
Chase Gormley
Blue Corner
-260
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
43
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'3"
198.12 cm
Reach
196 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brendan SchaubL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Ben Rothwell · Apr 12W
vs Lavar Johnson · Feb 13W
SUBvs Matt Mitrione · Sep 13L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Jun 14L
KOvs Travis Browne · Dec 14Chase GormleyNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brendan SchaubMetricChase Gormley
2.92
Strikes / min
3.60
2.22
Strikes absorbed / min
6.03
57%
Strike defense
44%
2.32
TDs / 15 min
3.12
72%
Takedown defense
0%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.70Δ 3.13 — meaningful gap-2.43
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brendan SchaubChase Gormley
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brendan Schaub(10 fights)Chase Gormley(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Brendan Schaub
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights10
Chase Gormley
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach—
Fights1