Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Brendan Schaub won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 23, 2013·Anaheim, California, USA, USA
Style matchupBrendan Schaub: WrestlervsLavar Johnson: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Lavar Johnson wins(53.2%)
Actual result: Brendan Schaub wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lavar Johnson is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Brendan Schaub has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Brendan Schaub has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Lavar Johnson has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Brendan Schaub
Red Corner
VS
Lavar Johnson
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
43
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
198.12 cm
Reach
208.28 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brendan SchaubL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Minotauro Nogueira · Aug 11L
KOvs Ben Rothwell · Apr 12W
SUBvs Matt Mitrione · Sep 13L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Jun 14L
KOvs Travis Browne · Dec 14Lavar Johnson
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Joey Beltran · Jan 12W
KOvs Pat Barry · May 12L
SUBvs Stefan Struve · May 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brendan SchaubMetricLavar Johnson
2.92
Strikes / min
5.39
2.22
Strikes absorbed / min
2.54
57%
Strike defense
55%
2.32
TDs / 15 min
0.61
72%
Takedown defense
54%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.70Δ 2.15 — meaningful gap+2.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brendan SchaubLavar Johnson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brendan Schaub(10 fights)Lavar Johnson(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+8.0-8.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Brendan Schaub
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights10
Lavar Johnson
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach82.0"
Fights4