Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Brendan Schaub won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, September 21, 2013·Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Style matchupBrendan Schaub: WrestlervsMatt Mitrione: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Matt Mitrione wins(53.7%)
Actual result: Brendan Schaub wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Mitrione is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Brendan Schaub has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Brendan Schaub has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Matt Mitrione (52.9%).
- Matt Mitrione has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Brendan Schaub
Red Corner
VS
Matt Mitrione
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
43
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'4"
Height
6'3"
198.12 cm
Reach
208.28 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brendan SchaubL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Minotauro Nogueira · Aug 11L
KOvs Ben Rothwell · Apr 12W
vs Lavar Johnson · Feb 13L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Jun 14L
KOvs Travis Browne · Dec 14Matt MitrioneL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Shawn Jordan · Mar 14W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Sep 14W
KOvs Gabriel Gonzaga · Dec 14L
SUBvs Ben Rothwell · Jun 15L
KOvs Travis Browne · Jan 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brendan SchaubMetricMatt Mitrione
2.92
Strikes / min
3.55
2.22
Strikes absorbed / min
2.79
57%
Strike defense
64%
2.32
TDs / 15 min
0.00
72%
Takedown defense
55%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.70evenly matched on net striking+0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brendan SchaubMatt Mitrione
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brendan Schaub(10 fights)Matt Mitrione(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.90.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Brendan Schaub
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights10
Matt Mitrione
StanceSwitch
Height75.0"
Reach82.0"
Fights13