Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Brett Johns won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 25, 2020·Raleigh, North Carolina, USA, USA
Style matchupBrett Johns: WrestlervsTony Gravely: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Brett Johns wins(70.1%)
Actual result: Brett Johns wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Brett Johns
Red Corner
VS
Tony Gravely
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'5"
180.34 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brett Johns
oldest →latest
W
vs Albert Morales · Jul 17W
SUBvs Joe Soto · Dec 17L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 18L
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 18W
vs Montel Jackson · Jul 20Tony GravelyL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Nate Maness · Sep 21W
vs Saimon Oliveira · Jan 22W
KOvs Johnny Munoz · Jun 22L
vs Javid Basharat · Sep 22L
vs Victor Henry · Mar 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brett JohnsMetricTony Gravely
2.86
Strikes / min
3.82
3.84
Strikes absorbed / min
4.47
53%
Strike defense
44%
4.92
TDs / 15 min
5.40
58%
Takedown defense
52%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.98evenly matched on net striking-0.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brett JohnsTony Gravely
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brett Johns(7 fights)Tony Gravely(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.9-14.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.847.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.249.2
Brett Johns
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights7
Tony Gravely
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights8