Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Brian Bowles won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Thursday, March 3, 2011·Louisville, Kentucky, USA, USA
Style matchupBrian Bowles: Submission grapplervsDamacio Page: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Brian Bowles wins(56.6%)
Actual result: Brian Bowles wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brian Bowles threatens submissions; Damacio Page has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Brian Bowles has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Brian Bowles has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Brian Bowles has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Brian Bowles
Red Corner
VS
Damacio Page
Blue Corner
-310
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+255
(28%)
45
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brian BowlesL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Takeya Mizugaki · Jul 11L
SUBvs Urijah Faber · Nov 11L
KOvs George Roop · May 13Damacio PageL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Brad Pickett · Apr 12L
SUBvs Alex Caceres · Jul 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brian BowlesMetricDamacio Page
2.36
Strikes / min
2.05
2.98
Strikes absorbed / min
2.47
64%
Strike defense
51%
1.39
TDs / 15 min
2.63
54%
Takedown defense
23%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.62evenly matched on net striking-0.42
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brian Bowles(4 fights)Damacio Page(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Brian Bowles
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4
Damacio Page
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights3