Welterweight
3 Rounds
Brian Ebersole won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 26, 2011·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, Australia
Model Prediction: Brian Ebersole wins(52.8%)
Actual result: Brian Ebersole wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Lytle enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brian Ebersole (53.5%).
- Brian Ebersole has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Brian Ebersole
Red Corner
VS
Chris Lytle
Blue Corner
+260
(28%)
Vegas Odds
-320
(76%)
45
Age
51
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brian Ebersole
oldest →latest
W
vs TJ Waldburger · Jun 12L
vs James Head · Jul 12L
vs Rick Story · Nov 13W
vs John Howard · Sep 14L
KOvs Omari Akhmedov · Jun 15Chris LytleW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Matt Brown · Jul 10W
vs Matt Serra · Sep 10W
SUBvs Dan Hardy · Aug 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brian EbersoleMetricChris Lytle
2.32
Strikes / min
3.76
2.14
Strikes absorbed / min
3.03
56%
Strike defense
58%
1.70
TDs / 15 min
0.70
61%
Takedown defense
55%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
2.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.18evenly matched on net striking+0.73
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brian EbersoleChris Lytle
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brian Ebersole(8 fights)Chris Lytle(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-35.135.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+48.0-48.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.6-49.6
Brian Ebersole
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8
Chris Lytle
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4