Welterweight
3 Rounds
James Head won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 21, 2012·Calgary, Alberta, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Brian Ebersole wins(74.5%)
Actual result: James Head wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brian Ebersole (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Brian Ebersole
Red Corner
VS
James Head
Blue Corner
-325
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+295
(25%)
45
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brian Ebersole
oldest →latest
W
vs Claude Patrick · Dec 11W
vs TJ Waldburger · Jun 12L
vs Rick Story · Nov 13W
vs John Howard · Sep 14L
KOvs Omari Akhmedov · Jun 15James HeadL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Nick Ring · Jun 11W
SUBvs Papy Abedi · Apr 12L
KOvs Mike Pyle · Dec 12L
SUBvs Jason High · Aug 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brian EbersoleMetricJames Head
2.32
Strikes / min
2.75
2.14
Strikes absorbed / min
3.11
56%
Strike defense
49%
1.70
TDs / 15 min
0.41
61%
Takedown defense
66%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.18evenly matched on net striking-0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brian EbersoleJames Head
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brian Ebersole(8 fights)James Head(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+75.4-75.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-69.069.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Brian Ebersole
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8
James Head
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights5