Welterweight
3 Rounds
Brian Foster won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Wednesday, September 15, 2010·Austin, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Brian Foster wins(66.0%)
Actual result: Brian Foster wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brian Foster is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Forrest Petz has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Forrest Petz has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Brian Foster
Red Corner
VS
Forrest Petz
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
42
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brian Foster
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Matt Brown · Nov 10Forrest Petz
oldest →latest
L
vs Daniel Roberts · Jul 10Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brian FosterMetricForrest Petz
3.30
Strikes / min
2.27
1.63
Strikes absorbed / min
2.20
65%
Strike defense
57%
3.67
TDs / 15 min
1.30
37%
Takedown defense
66%
1.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.67Δ 1.60 — meaningful gap+0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brian FosterForrest Petz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brian Foster(2 fights)Forrest Petz(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.5-19.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+47.9-47.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.8-49.8
Brian Foster
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2
Forrest Petz
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2