Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Brian Kelleher won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 21, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Brian Kelleher wins(69.7%)
Actual result: Brian Kelleher wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Brian Kelleher has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brian Kelleher (54.1%).
- Domingo Pilarte has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Brian Kelleher
Red Corner
VS
Domingo Pilarte
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
39
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
6'0"
167.64 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brian KelleherL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Kevin Croom · Jan 22L
SUBvs Umar Nurmagomedov · Mar 22L
SUBvs Mario Bautista · Jun 22L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Dec 23L
SUBvs Cody Gibson · Jul 24Domingo PilarteL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Felipe Colares · Jul 19L
vs Journey Newson · Feb 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brian KelleherMetricDomingo Pilarte
3.31
Strikes / min
1.31
4.59
Strikes absorbed / min
2.96
54%
Strike defense
40%
1.68
TDs / 15 min
1.20
60%
Takedown defense
54%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.28evenly matched on net striking-1.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brian KelleherDomingo Pilarte
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brian Kelleher(10 fights)Domingo Pilarte(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+54.6-54.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-371.0371.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Brian Kelleher
StanceSwitch
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights17
Domingo Pilarte
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3