Featherweight
3 Rounds
Brian Kelleher won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 15, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Brian Kelleher wins(75.2%)
Actual result: Brian Kelleher wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Brian Kelleher has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Brian Kelleher has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brian Kelleher (52.9%).
- Kevin Croom has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Brian Kelleher
Red Corner
VS
Kevin Croom
Blue Corner
-380
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+290
(26%)
39
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'11"
167.64 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brian KelleherL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Domingo Pilarte · Aug 21L
SUBvs Umar Nurmagomedov · Mar 22L
SUBvs Mario Bautista · Jun 22L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Dec 23L
SUBvs Cody Gibson · Jul 24Kevin CroomL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Roosevelt Roberts · Sep 20L
vs Alex Caceres · Feb 21L
KOvs Alatengheili · Apr 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brian KelleherMetricKevin Croom
3.31
Strikes / min
2.65
4.59
Strikes absorbed / min
3.10
54%
Strike defense
41%
1.68
TDs / 15 min
0.48
60%
Takedown defense
30%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.28evenly matched on net striking-0.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brian KelleherKevin Croom
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brian Kelleher(10 fights)Kevin Croom(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+30.3-30.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-175.0175.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Brian Kelleher
StanceSwitch
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights17
Kevin Croom
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4