Featherweight
3 Rounds
Brian Ortega won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 29, 2017·Anaheim, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Renato Moicano wins(53.2%)
Actual result: Brian Ortega wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Renato Moicano has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brian Ortega (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Brian Ortega
Red Corner
VS
Renato Moicano
Blue Corner
+160
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-185
(65%)
35
Age
37
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'11"
175.26 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brian OrtegaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Sep 21L
KOvs Yair Rodriguez · Jul 22W
SUBvs Yair Rodriguez · Feb 24L
vs Diego Lopes · Sep 24L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Aug 25Renato MoicanoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Drew Dober · Feb 24W
KOvs Jalin Turner · Apr 24W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Sep 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jan 25L
vs Beneil Dariush · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brian OrtegaMetricRenato Moicano
3.84
Strikes / min
4.10
6.38
Strikes absorbed / min
3.55
49%
Strike defense
59%
0.93
TDs / 15 min
1.68
54%
Takedown defense
64%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.54Δ 3.09 — meaningful gap+0.55
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brian OrtegaRenato Moicano
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brian Ortega(10 fights)Renato Moicano(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+3.4-3.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+315.0-315.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Brian Ortega
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13
Renato Moicano
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20