Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Alistair Overeem won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Friday, December 30, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupBrock Lesnar: WrestlervsAlistair Overeem: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Alistair Overeem wins(51.9%)
Actual result: Alistair Overeem wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alistair Overeem is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Brock Lesnar has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Brock Lesnar
Red Corner
VS
Alistair Overeem
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
48
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'4"
205.74 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brock Lesnar
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Shane Carwin · Jul 10L
KOvs Cain Velasquez · Oct 10Alistair Overeem
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Apr 19L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Dec 19W
KOvs Walt Harris · May 20W
KOvs Augusto Sakai · Sep 20L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Feb 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brock LesnarMetricAlistair Overeem
3.53
Strikes / min
3.67
2.11
Strikes absorbed / min
2.44
50%
Strike defense
57%
3.90
TDs / 15 min
1.42
60%
Takedown defense
73%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.42evenly matched on net striking+1.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brock LesnarAlistair Overeem
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brock Lesnar(3 fights)Alistair Overeem(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.847.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
Brock Lesnar
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights3
Alistair Overeem
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights20