Heavyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Brock Lesnar won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 3, 2010·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupBrock Lesnar: WrestlervsShane Carwin: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Shane Carwin wins(52.1%)
Actual result: Brock Lesnar wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shane Carwin is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Brock Lesnar has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Brock Lesnar threatens submissions; Shane Carwin has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Brock Lesnar has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Brock Lesnar
Red Corner
VS
Shane Carwin
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
48
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'2"
205.74 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brock LesnarL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Cain Velasquez · Oct 10L
KOvs Alistair Overeem · Dec 11Shane Carwin
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Frank Mir · Mar 10L
vs Junior Dos Santos · Jun 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brock LesnarMetricShane Carwin
3.53
Strikes / min
4.38
2.11
Strikes absorbed / min
3.53
50%
Strike defense
53%
3.90
TDs / 15 min
1.42
60%
Takedown defense
42%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.42evenly matched on net striking+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brock LesnarShane Carwin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brock Lesnar(3 fights)Shane Carwin(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.513.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.4-49.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.9-49.9
Brock Lesnar
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights3
Shane Carwin
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights3