Middleweight
3 Rounds
Brunno Ferreira won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 19, 2025·New Orleans, Louisiana, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jackson McVey wins(51.9%)
Actual result: Brunno Ferreira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brunno Ferreira has 28pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Brunno Ferreira has 61pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jackson McVey (53.5%).
- Jackson McVey has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Brunno Ferreira
Red Corner
VS
Jackson McVey
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
33
Age
27
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
6'4"
182.88 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brunno Ferreira
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Dustin Stoltzfus · Jun 24L
SUBvs Abus Magomedov · Oct 24W
SUBvs Armen Petrosyan · Mar 25W
vs Marvin Vettori · Dec 25L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Mar 26Jackson McVey
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Zach Reese · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brunno FerreiraMetricJackson McVey
3.77
Strikes / min
6.51
3.91
Strikes absorbed / min
3.37
51%
Strike defense
23%
1.25
TDs / 15 min
0.00
61%
Takedown defense
0%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.14Δ 3.28 — meaningful gap+3.14
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Brunno FerreiraJackson McVey
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brunno Ferreira(9 fights)Jackson McVey(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+33.8-33.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Brunno Ferreira
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights9
Jackson McVey
StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights2