Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Matheus Nicolau won
UFC Event·Saturday, November 7, 2015·Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Matheus Nicolau wins(54.6%)
Actual result: Matheus Nicolau wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matheus Nicolau enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Matheus Nicolau has 23pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Matheus Nicolau has 65pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Bruno Korea
Red Corner
VS
Matheus Nicolau
Blue Corner
+165
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-190
(66%)
34
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
165.1 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bruno KoreaNo prior UFC fights on record.
Matheus NicolauL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs David Dvorak · Mar 22W
KOvs Matt Schnell · Dec 22L
KOvs Brandon Royval · Apr 23L
KOvs Alex Perez · Apr 24L
vs Asu Almabayev · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bruno KoreaMetricMatheus Nicolau
2.12
Strikes / min
3.31
3.96
Strikes absorbed / min
2.98
42%
Strike defense
65%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.22
25%
Takedown defense
90%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.84Δ 2.17 — meaningful gap+0.33
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bruno Korea(1 fights)Matheus Nicolau(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Bruno Korea
Stance—
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights1
Matheus Nicolau
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights11