Welterweight
3 Rounds
Bryan Battle won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 23, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Bryan Battle wins(52.6%)
Actual result: Bryan Battle wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bryan Battle enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Bryan Battle has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors AJ Fletcher (52.9%).
- Bryan Battle has a 25cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Bryan Battle
Red Corner
VS
AJ Fletcher
Blue Corner
-192
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
31
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'1"
Height
5'10"
195.58 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bryan BattleW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Takashi Sato · Aug 22L
vs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Dec 22W
KOvs Gabe Green · May 23W
KOvs Kevin Jousset · Sep 24W
vs Randy Brown · Dec 24AJ Fletcher
oldest →latest
L
vs Matthew Semelsberger · Mar 22L
vs Ange Loosa · Aug 22W
SUBvs Themba Gorimbo · Feb 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bryan BattleMetricAJ Fletcher
5.12
Strikes / min
3.36
4.11
Strikes absorbed / min
4.61
44%
Strike defense
46%
0.77
TDs / 15 min
1.54
53%
Takedown defense
33%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.01Δ 2.26 — meaningful gap-1.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Bryan BattleAJ Fletcher
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bryan Battle(8 fights)AJ Fletcher(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+63.5-63.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-84.084.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Bryan Battle
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights8
AJ Fletcher
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4