Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Bryan Caraway won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 27, 2013·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupBryan Caraway: WrestlervsJohnny Bedford: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Bryan Caraway wins(50.6%)
Actual result: Bryan Caraway wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bryan Caraway threatens submissions; Johnny Bedford has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Bryan Caraway has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Bryan Caraway
Red Corner
VS
Johnny Bedford
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
41
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
172.72 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bryan CarawayL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Raphael Assuncao · Oct 14W
vs Eddie Wineland · Jul 15W
vs Aljamain Sterling · May 16L
vs Cody Stamann · Mar 18L
KOvs Pedro Munhoz · Nov 18Johnny BedfordL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Louis Gaudinot · Dec 11W
KOvs Marcos Vinicius · Dec 12L
KOvs Cody Gibson · Jun 14L
SUBvs Rani Yahya · Sep 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bryan CarawayMetricJohnny Bedford
2.53
Strikes / min
4.53
3.61
Strikes absorbed / min
1.75
54%
Strike defense
63%
2.57
TDs / 15 min
1.83
80%
Takedown defense
62%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.08Δ 3.86 — meaningful gap+2.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Bryan CarawayJohnny Bedford
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bryan Caraway(10 fights)Johnny Bedford(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-17.517.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-77.077.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.71.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Bryan Caraway
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10
Johnny Bedford
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5