Featherweight
3 Rounds
Bryce Mitchell won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 7, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Bryce Mitchell wins(79.6%)
Actual result: Bryce Mitchell wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kron Gracie threatens submissions; Bryce Mitchell has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Bryce Mitchell has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Bryce Mitchell
Red Corner
VS
Kron Gracie
Blue Corner
-950
(90%)
Vegas Odds
+625
(14%)
31
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bryce Mitchell
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Ilia Topuria · Dec 22W
vs Dan Ige · Sep 23L
KOvs Josh Emmett · Dec 23L
SUBvs Jean Silva · Apr 25W
vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 25Kron GracieL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Alex Caceres · Feb 19L
vs Cub Swanson · Oct 19L
vs Charles Jourdain · May 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bryce MitchellMetricKron Gracie
2.27
Strikes / min
2.95
1.60
Strikes absorbed / min
5.73
58%
Strike defense
51%
3.24
TDs / 15 min
0.35
33%
Takedown defense
0%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.67Δ 3.45 — meaningful gap-2.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Bryce MitchellKron Gracie
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bryce Mitchell(10 fights)Kron Gracie(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+89.0-89.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-224.0224.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Bryce Mitchell
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights12
Kron Gracie
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4