Featherweight
3 Rounds
Bryce Mitchell won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 7, 2019·Washington, DC, USA, USA
Style matchupBryce Mitchell: WrestlervsMatt Sayles: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Bryce Mitchell wins(80.8%)
Actual result: Bryce Mitchell wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Sayles threatens submissions; Bryce Mitchell has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Matt Sayles has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Bryce Mitchell (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Bryce Mitchell
Red Corner
VS
Matt Sayles
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
31
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bryce Mitchell
oldest →latest
W
vs Dan Ige · Sep 23L
KOvs Josh Emmett · Dec 23W
KOvs Kron Gracie · Dec 24L
SUBvs Jean Silva · Apr 25W
vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 25Matt Sayles
oldest →latest
L
vs Sheymon Moraes · Aug 18W
SUBvs Kyle Nelson · May 19L
SUBvs Jordan Leavitt · Dec 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bryce MitchellMetricMatt Sayles
2.27
Strikes / min
4.83
1.60
Strikes absorbed / min
2.81
58%
Strike defense
61%
3.24
TDs / 15 min
0.36
33%
Takedown defense
81%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.67Δ 1.35 — meaningful gap+2.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Bryce MitchellMatt Sayles
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bryce Mitchell(10 fights)Matt Sayles(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.8-32.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Bryce Mitchell
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights12
Matt Sayles
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4