Middleweight
3 Rounds
Garreth McLellan won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 24, 2015·Dublin, Leinster, Ireland, Ireland
Model Prediction: Bubba Bush wins(53.7%)
Actual result: Garreth McLellan wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Garreth McLellan enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Garreth McLellan has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Bubba Bush has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Garreth McLellan (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Bubba Bush
Red Corner
VS
Garreth McLellan
Blue Corner
-330
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+270
(27%)
40
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bubba BushNo prior UFC fights on record.
Garreth McLellanL4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Bartosz Fabinski · Apr 15L
KOvs Magnus Cedenblad · May 16L
vs Alessio Di Chirico · Aug 16L
KOvs Paulo Costa · Mar 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bubba BushMetricGarreth McLellan
0.63
Strikes / min
3.56
7.01
Strikes absorbed / min
2.94
25%
Strike defense
45%
2.82
TDs / 15 min
1.15
60%
Takedown defense
34%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-6.38Δ 7.00 — meaningful gap+0.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Bubba BushGarreth McLellan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bubba Bush(1 fights)Garreth McLellan(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.5-18.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
Bubba Bush
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach—
Fights1
Garreth McLellan
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights5