Middleweight
3 Rounds
Buddy Roberts won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Friday, June 8, 2012·Sunrise, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Caio Magalhaes wins(56.9%)
Actual result: Buddy Roberts wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Buddy Roberts has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Buddy Roberts has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Buddy Roberts
Red Corner
VS
Caio Magalhaes
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
43
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'1"
193 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Buddy Roberts
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Yushin Okami · Aug 12Caio MagalhaesL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Nick Ring · Dec 13W
KOvs Luke Zachrich · Apr 14W
KOvs Trevor Smith · Nov 14L
SUBvs Josh Samman · Jul 15L
vs Brad Tavares · Sep 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Buddy RobertsMetricCaio Magalhaes
2.17
Strikes / min
2.27
2.08
Strikes absorbed / min
2.78
70%
Strike defense
56%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.05
76%
Takedown defense
58%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.09evenly matched on net striking-0.51
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Buddy Roberts(2 fights)Caio Magalhaes(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Buddy Roberts
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach—
Fights2
Caio Magalhaes
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7