Roy NelsonvsMatt Mitrione

UFC Event · Saturday, December 15, 2012 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Roy Nelson wins(58.8%)

Actual result: Roy Nelson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Roy Nelson

Red Corner

Matt Mitrione

Blue Corner

-185

(65%)

Vegas Odds

+170

(37%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

6'0"

Height

6'3"

185.42 cm

Reach

208.28 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

19.7

Sig. Strikes

34.7

0.4

Takedowns

0.0

0.1

Sub Attempts

0.7

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

-35.935.9

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-210.0210.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.20.2

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-1.01.0

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.10.1

Roy Nelson

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights18

Matt Mitrione

StanceSwitch

Height75.0"

Reach82.0"

Fights13