Kelvin GastelumvsDustin Stoltzfus

UFC Event · Saturday, September 13, 2025 · San Antonio, Texas, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Kelvin Gastelum wins(58.3%)

Actual result: Kelvin Gastelum wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Kelvin Gastelum

Red Corner

Dustin Stoltzfus

Blue Corner

-235

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+194

(34%)

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

6'0"

180.34 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

3.7

Sig. Strikes

3.3

1.0

Takedowns

2.1

0.1

Sub Attempts

1.1

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+84.8-84.8

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-21.021.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.10.1

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+1.2-1.2

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.30.3

Kelvin Gastelum

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights24

Dustin Stoltzfus

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights10