Welterweight
3 Rounds
Charles Radtke won · Decision R3
Elo1513
Elo1471
Charles RadtkevsFrancisco Prado
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · Saturday, April 11, 2026Miami, USA
Model Prediction: Charles Radtke wins(67.6%)
Scouting Report
- Francisco Prado enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Francisco Prado is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Charles Radtke has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Charles Radtke has 60pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Charles Radtke
Francisco Prado
—
Vegas Odds
—
1513
1471
36
24
Orthodox
Orthodox
5'9"
5'10"
182.88 cm
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Charles Radtke
oldest →
KOvs Gilbert Urbina · Feb 24
KOvs Carlos Prates · Jun 24
KOvs Matthew Semelsberger · Nov 24
KOvs Mike Malott · May 25
SUBvs Daniel Frunza · Nov 25
latestFrancisco Prado
oldest →
vs Jamie Mullarkey · Feb 23
KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Jul 23
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Feb 24
vs Jake Matthews · Feb 25
vs Nikolay Veretennikov · Jul 25
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Charles RadtkeMetricFrancisco Prado
2.50
Strikes / min
3.68
2.45
Strikes absorbed / min
4.31
54%
Strike defense
54%
1.99
TDs / 15 min
0.76
100%
Takedown defense
40%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Charles RadtkeFrancisco Prado
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
EVEN
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
EVEN
— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Charles Radtke
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6
Francisco Prado
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5