Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Cody Durden won · Decision R3
Elo1515
Elo1458
Jafel FilhovsCody Durden
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · Saturday, April 25, 2026Las Vegas, USA
Style matchup
Model Prediction: Jafel Filho wins(67.5%)
Scouting Report
- Cody Durden enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Jafel Filho threatens submissions; Cody Durden has lost 56% of fights by sub.
Tale of the Tape
Jafel Filho
Cody Durden
—
Vegas Odds
—
1515
1458
33
35
Orthodox
Southpaw
5'7"
5'7"
172.72 cm
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Jafel Filho
oldest →
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Mar 23
SUBvs Daniel Barez · Jul 23
SUBvs Ode Osbourne · Mar 24
vs Allan Nascimento · May 25
SUBvs Clayton Carpenter · Oct 25
latestCody Durden
oldest →
vs Joshua Van · Dec 24
KOvs Jose Ochoa · Jun 25
SUBvs Allan Nascimento · Nov 25
vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · Mar 26
SUBvs Alessandro Costa · Jul 26
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Jafel FilhoMetricCody Durden
1.78
Strikes / min
3.24
1.76
Strikes absorbed / min
3.94
50%
Strike defense
50%
2.40
TDs / 15 min
3.99
50%
Takedown defense
56%
1.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Jafel FilhoCody Durden
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Jafel Filho
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6
Cody Durden
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights17