Nate DiazvsRory MacDonald

UFC Event · Saturday, April 30, 2011 · Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Canada

Model Prediction: Nate Diaz wins(64.8%)

Actual result: Rory MacDonald wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Nate Diaz

Red Corner

Rory MacDonald

Blue Corner

+127

(44%)

Vegas Odds

-137

(58%)

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'0"

193.04 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

30.9

Sig. Strikes

18.5

1.2

Takedowns

2.5

1.3

Sub Attempts

1.0

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+36.0-36.0

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-203.0203.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+1.1-1.1

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+1.1-1.1

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.30.3

Nate Diaz

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights18

Rory MacDonald

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights12