Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Cain Velasquez won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 26, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCain Velasquez: WrestlervsAntonio Silva: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Cain Velasquez wins(54.9%)
Actual result: Cain Velasquez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Antonio Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Cain Velasquez is a KO finisher (83% of wins). Antonio Silva has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Antonio Silva is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Cain Velasquez has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Cain Velasquez has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Antonio Silva has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Cain Velasquez
Red Corner
VS
Antonio Silva
Blue Corner
-400
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+355
(22%)
43
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'4"
195.58 cm
Reach
208.28 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cain Velasquez
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Antonio Silva · May 13W
KOvs Junior Dos Santos · Oct 13L
SUBvs Fabricio Werdum · Jun 15W
KOvs Travis Browne · Jul 16L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Feb 19Antonio SilvaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Frank Mir · Feb 15W
KOvs Soa Palelei · Aug 15L
KOvs Mark Hunt · Nov 15L
KOvs Stefan Struve · May 16L
KOvs Roy Nelson · Sep 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cain VelasquezMetricAntonio Silva
6.37
Strikes / min
2.89
2.33
Strikes absorbed / min
3.09
57%
Strike defense
50%
5.13
TDs / 15 min
0.82
85%
Takedown defense
66%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+4.04Δ 4.24 — meaningful gap-0.20
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cain VelasquezAntonio Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cain Velasquez(9 fights)Antonio Silva(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.247.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Cain Velasquez
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights9
Antonio Silva
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach82.0"
Fights10