Middleweight
3 Rounds
Caio Borralho won · U-DEC R3
CB
AM
Caio BorralhovsAbus Magomedov
UFC Event · Saturday, November 4, 2023Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupCaio Borralho: Well-roundedvsAbus Magomedov: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Caio Borralho wins(65.3%)
Actual result: Caio Borralho wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Abus Magomedov has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Caio Borralho (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Caio Borralho
Red Corner
VS
Abus Magomedov
Blue Corner
-298
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+240
(29%)
33
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'2"
190.5 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Caio Borralho
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Apr 23W
KOvs Paul Craig · May 24W
vs Jared Cannonier · Aug 24L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 25W
vs Reinier de Ridder · Mar 26Abus Magomedov
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Sean Strickland · Jul 23W
vs Warlley Alves · May 24W
SUBvs Brunno Ferreira · Oct 24W
vs Michel Pereira · Apr 25L
SUBvs Joe Pyfer · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Caio BorralhoMetricAbus Magomedov
3.47
Strikes / min
3.07
2.61
Strikes absorbed / min
3.43
60%
Strike defense
55%
1.25
TDs / 15 min
2.61
76%
Takedown defense
100%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.86Δ 1.22 — meaningful gap-0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Caio BorralhoAbus Magomedov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Caio Borralho(9 fights)Abus Magomedov(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+69.8-69.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Caio Borralho
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights9
Abus Magomedov
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights7