Middleweight
3 Rounds
Caio Borralho won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 9, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCaio Borralho: Well-roundedvsArmen Petrosyan: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Caio Borralho wins(65.4%)
Actual result: Caio Borralho wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Armen Petrosyan enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Caio Borralho has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Caio Borralho (53.5%).
- Caio Borralho has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Caio Borralho
Red Corner
VS
Armen Petrosyan
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
33
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Caio Borralho
oldest →latest
W
vs Abus Magomedov · Nov 23W
KOvs Paul Craig · May 24W
vs Jared Cannonier · Aug 24L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 25W
vs Reinier de Ridder · Mar 26Armen PetrosyanL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs AJ Dobson · Oct 22W
vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Jun 23L
SUBvs Rodolfo Vieira · Feb 24L
KOvs Shara Magomedov · Oct 24L
SUBvs Brunno Ferreira · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Caio BorralhoMetricArmen Petrosyan
3.47
Strikes / min
5.84
2.61
Strikes absorbed / min
3.31
60%
Strike defense
53%
1.25
TDs / 15 min
0.17
76%
Takedown defense
41%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.86Δ 1.67 — meaningful gap+2.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Caio BorralhoArmen Petrosyan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Caio Borralho(9 fights)Armen Petrosyan(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.91.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Caio Borralho
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights9
Armen Petrosyan
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights7