Middleweight
3 Rounds
Caio Borralho won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 16, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Caio Borralho wins(71.9%)
Actual result: Caio Borralho wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Caio Borralho has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Caio Borralho has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gadzhi Omargadzhiev (54.1%).
- Caio Borralho has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Caio Borralho
Red Corner
VS
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
33
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
6'1"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Caio Borralho
oldest →latest
W
vs Abus Magomedov · Nov 23W
KOvs Paul Craig · May 24W
vs Jared Cannonier · Aug 24L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 25W
vs Reinier de Ridder · Mar 26Gadzhi Omargadzhiev
oldest →latest
L
vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov · Oct 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Caio BorralhoMetricGadzhi Omargadzhiev
3.47
Strikes / min
1.80
2.61
Strikes absorbed / min
2.20
60%
Strike defense
39%
1.25
TDs / 15 min
1.35
76%
Takedown defense
60%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.86Δ 1.26 — meaningful gap-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Caio BorralhoGadzhi Omargadzhiev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Caio Borralho(9 fights)Gadzhi Omargadzhiev(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Caio Borralho
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights9
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev
StanceSwitch
Height73.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2