Middleweight
3 Rounds
Caio Borralho won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 29, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCaio Borralho: Well-roundedvsMichal Oleksiejczuk: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Caio Borralho wins(70.2%)
Actual result: Caio Borralho wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michal Oleksiejczuk enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Caio Borralho has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Caio Borralho
Red Corner
VS
Michal Oleksiejczuk
Blue Corner
-390
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+310
(24%)
33
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Caio Borralho
oldest →latest
W
vs Abus Magomedov · Nov 23W
KOvs Paul Craig · May 24W
vs Jared Cannonier · Aug 24L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 25W
vs Reinier de Ridder · Mar 26Michal OleksiejczukW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 24L
vs Shara Magomedov · Aug 24W
KOvs Sedriques Dumas · Apr 25W
KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 25W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Caio BorralhoMetricMichal Oleksiejczuk
3.47
Strikes / min
5.85
2.61
Strikes absorbed / min
4.50
60%
Strike defense
59%
1.25
TDs / 15 min
1.02
76%
Takedown defense
52%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.86evenly matched on net striking+1.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Caio BorralhoMichal Oleksiejczuk
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Caio Borralho(9 fights)Michal Oleksiejczuk(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+6.7-6.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Caio Borralho
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights9
Michal Oleksiejczuk
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17