Middleweight
3 Rounds
Caio Borralho won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 7, 2026·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCaio Borralho: Well-roundedvsReinier de Ridder: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Caio Borralho wins(55.6%)
Actual result: Caio Borralho wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Caio Borralho has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Caio Borralho has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Caio Borralho
Red Corner
VS
Reinier de Ridder
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
33
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'4"
190.5 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Caio Borralho
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Apr 23W
vs Abus Magomedov · Nov 23W
KOvs Paul Craig · May 24W
vs Jared Cannonier · Aug 24L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 25Reinier de Ridder
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Nov 24W
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jan 25W
KOvs Bo Nickal · May 25W
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 25L
KOvs Brendan Allen · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Caio BorralhoMetricReinier de Ridder
3.47
Strikes / min
2.47
2.61
Strikes absorbed / min
2.36
60%
Strike defense
46%
1.25
TDs / 15 min
2.56
76%
Takedown defense
40%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.86evenly matched on net striking+0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Caio BorralhoReinier de Ridder
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Caio Borralho(9 fights)Reinier de Ridder(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+33.9-33.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Caio Borralho
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights9
Reinier de Ridder
StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights6