Middleweight
3 Rounds
Caio Magalhaes won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 8, 2013·Fortaleza, Ceara, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupCaio Magalhaes: Submission grapplervsKarlos Vemola: Submission grappler
Submission battle — patience and grip-fighting decide it on the mat.
Model Prediction: Caio Magalhaes wins(50.4%)
Actual result: Caio Magalhaes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karlos Vemola threatens submissions; Caio Magalhaes has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Caio Magalhaes has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Caio Magalhaes has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Caio Magalhaes
Red Corner
VS
Karlos Vemola
Blue Corner
+115
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
38
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Caio MagalhaesL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Nick Ring · Dec 13W
KOvs Luke Zachrich · Apr 14W
KOvs Trevor Smith · Nov 14L
SUBvs Josh Samman · Jul 15L
vs Brad Tavares · Sep 16Karlos Vemola
oldest →latest
L
vs Jon Madsen · Jul 10W
KOvs Seth Petruzelli · Nov 10L
vs Ronny Markes · Aug 11W
SUBvs Mike Massenzio · May 12L
SUBvs Francis Carmont · Jul 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Caio MagalhaesMetricKarlos Vemola
2.27
Strikes / min
1.67
2.78
Strikes absorbed / min
2.13
56%
Strike defense
37%
1.05
TDs / 15 min
1.93
58%
Takedown defense
31%
1.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.51evenly matched on net striking-0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Caio MagalhaesKarlos Vemola
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Caio Magalhaes(7 fights)Karlos Vemola(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-6.16.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+33.0-33.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Caio Magalhaes
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7
Karlos Vemola
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights6