Middleweight
3 Rounds
Caio Magalhaes won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 19, 2014·Orlando, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupCaio Magalhaes: Submission grapplervsLuke Zachrich: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Caio Magalhaes wins(61.1%)
Actual result: Caio Magalhaes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Caio Magalhaes is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Luke Zachrich has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Luke Zachrich has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Caio Magalhaes
Red Corner
VS
Luke Zachrich
Blue Corner
-295
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+265
(27%)
38
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'2"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Caio MagalhaesL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Karlos Vemola · Jun 13W
vs Nick Ring · Dec 13W
KOvs Trevor Smith · Nov 14L
SUBvs Josh Samman · Jul 15L
vs Brad Tavares · Sep 16Luke Zachrich
oldest →latest
W
vs Guilherme Vasconcelos · Jul 14L
SUBvs Daniel Kelly · Nov 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Caio MagalhaesMetricLuke Zachrich
2.27
Strikes / min
4.56
2.78
Strikes absorbed / min
4.46
56%
Strike defense
62%
1.05
TDs / 15 min
0.74
58%
Takedown defense
80%
1.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.51evenly matched on net striking+0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Caio MagalhaesLuke Zachrich
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Caio Magalhaes(7 fights)Luke Zachrich(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.8-19.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.049.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Caio Magalhaes
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7
Luke Zachrich
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3