Middleweight
3 Rounds
Caio Magalhaes won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 8, 2014·Uberlandia, Minas Gerais, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupCaio Magalhaes: Submission grapplervsTrevor Smith: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Trevor Smith wins(53.2%)
Actual result: Caio Magalhaes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Trevor Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Caio Magalhaes
Red Corner
VS
Trevor Smith
Blue Corner
-280
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+255
(28%)
38
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
185.42 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Caio MagalhaesL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Karlos Vemola · Jun 13W
vs Nick Ring · Dec 13W
KOvs Luke Zachrich · Apr 14L
SUBvs Josh Samman · Jul 15L
vs Brad Tavares · Sep 16Trevor SmithL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Andrew Sanchez · Dec 16W
vs Chris Camozzi · May 17L
vs Elias Theodorou · May 18L
vs Zak Cummings · Dec 18L
KOvs Makhmud Muradov · Dec 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Caio MagalhaesMetricTrevor Smith
2.27
Strikes / min
3.29
2.78
Strikes absorbed / min
3.31
56%
Strike defense
51%
1.05
TDs / 15 min
1.70
58%
Takedown defense
60%
1.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.51evenly matched on net striking-0.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Caio MagalhaesTrevor Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Caio Magalhaes(7 fights)Trevor Smith(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+31.6-31.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+91.0-91.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.22.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Caio Magalhaes
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7
Trevor Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12