Featherweight
3 Rounds
Aljamain Sterling won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 13, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCalvin Kattar: Pressure fightervsAljamain Sterling: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Calvin Kattar wins(55.4%)
Actual result: Aljamain Sterling wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Calvin Kattar enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Calvin Kattar has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Calvin Kattar
Red Corner
VS
Aljamain Sterling
Blue Corner
+154
(39%)
Vegas Odds
-185
(65%)
38
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'7"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Calvin KattarL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Giga Chikadze · Jan 22L
vs Josh Emmett · Jun 22L
KOvs Arnold Allen · Oct 22L
vs Youssef Zalal · Feb 25L
vs Steve Garcia · Jul 25Aljamain Sterling
oldest →latest
W
KOvs TJ Dillashaw · Oct 22W
vs Henry Cejudo · May 23L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Aug 23L
vs Movsar Evloev · Dec 24W
vs Brian Ortega · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Calvin KattarMetricAljamain Sterling
4.41
Strikes / min
4.26
6.55
Strikes absorbed / min
2.15
54%
Strike defense
59%
0.34
TDs / 15 min
2.54
77%
Takedown defense
44%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.14Δ 4.25 — meaningful gap+2.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Calvin KattarAljamain Sterling
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Calvin Kattar(10 fights)Aljamain Sterling(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-117.0117.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+294.0-294.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Calvin Kattar
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights15
Aljamain Sterling
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights22