Featherweight
5 Rounds
Josh Emmett won · S-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, June 18, 2022·Austin, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Calvin Kattar wins(59.5%)
Actual result: Josh Emmett wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Calvin Kattar enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Josh Emmett enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Calvin Kattar has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Calvin Kattar
Red Corner
VS
Josh Emmett
Blue Corner
-280
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+235
(30%)
38
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'6"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Calvin KattarL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Giga Chikadze · Jan 22L
KOvs Arnold Allen · Oct 22L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 24L
vs Youssef Zalal · Feb 25L
vs Steve Garcia · Jul 25Josh EmmettL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ilia Topuria · Jun 23W
KOvs Bryce Mitchell · Dec 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · Apr 25L
SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Oct 25L
KOvs Kevin Vallejos · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Calvin KattarMetricJosh Emmett
4.41
Strikes / min
3.67
6.55
Strikes absorbed / min
4.52
54%
Strike defense
59%
0.34
TDs / 15 min
1.07
77%
Takedown defense
43%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.14Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap-0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Calvin KattarJosh Emmett
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Calvin Kattar(10 fights)Josh Emmett(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-26.026.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Calvin Kattar
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights15
Josh Emmett
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17