Featherweight
3 Rounds
Steve Garcia won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 12, 2025·Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Style matchupCalvin Kattar: Pressure fightervsSteve Garcia: Elusive striker
The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.
Model Prediction: Calvin Kattar wins(54.1%)
Actual result: Steve Garcia wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Calvin Kattar enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Steve Garcia enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Calvin Kattar is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Steve Garcia has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Steve Garcia (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Calvin Kattar
Red Corner
VS
Steve Garcia
Blue Corner
+118
(46%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
38
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Calvin KattarL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Giga Chikadze · Jan 22L
vs Josh Emmett · Jun 22L
KOvs Arnold Allen · Oct 22L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 24L
vs Youssef Zalal · Feb 25Steve GarciaW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · Apr 23W
KOvs Melquizael Costa · Dec 23W
KOvs SeungWoo Choi · Jul 24W
KOvs Kyle Nelson · Sep 24W
KOvs David Onama · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Calvin KattarMetricSteve Garcia
4.41
Strikes / min
5.39
6.55
Strikes absorbed / min
2.12
54%
Strike defense
59%
0.34
TDs / 15 min
0.86
77%
Takedown defense
88%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.14Δ 5.41 — meaningful gap+3.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Calvin KattarSteve Garcia
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Calvin Kattar(10 fights)Steve Garcia(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-44.044.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-161.0161.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.91.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Calvin Kattar
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights15
Steve Garcia
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10