Featherweight
3 Rounds
Youssef Zalal won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 15, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCalvin Kattar: Pressure fightervsYoussef Zalal: Submission grappler
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Calvin Kattar wins(54.4%)
Actual result: Youssef Zalal wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Calvin Kattar enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Youssef Zalal enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Youssef Zalal has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Calvin Kattar has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Youssef Zalal (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Calvin Kattar
Red Corner
VS
Youssef Zalal
Blue Corner
+350
(22%)
Vegas Odds
-450
(82%)
38
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'11"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Calvin KattarL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Giga Chikadze · Jan 22L
vs Josh Emmett · Jun 22L
KOvs Arnold Allen · Oct 22L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 24L
vs Steve Garcia · Jul 25Youssef ZalalW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Sean Woodson · Jun 21W
SUBvs Billy Quarantillo · Mar 24W
SUBvs Jarno Errens · Aug 24W
SUBvs Jack Shore · Nov 24W
SUBvs Josh Emmett · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Calvin KattarMetricYoussef Zalal
4.41
Strikes / min
2.78
6.55
Strikes absorbed / min
1.79
54%
Strike defense
64%
0.34
TDs / 15 min
1.84
77%
Takedown defense
55%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.14Δ 3.13 — meaningful gap+0.99
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Calvin KattarYoussef Zalal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Calvin Kattar(10 fights)Youssef Zalal(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.7-2.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+203.0-203.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.71.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
Calvin Kattar
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights15
Youssef Zalal
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10