Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Carla Esparza won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 23, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Carla Esparza wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Carla Esparza wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Juliana Lima has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Carla Esparza
Red Corner
VS
Juliana Lima
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
38
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'1"
Height
5'5"
160.02 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carla EsparzaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Jul 20W
KOvs Yan Xiaonan · May 21W
vs Rose Namajunas · May 22L
SUBvs Zhang Weili · Nov 22L
vs Tecia Pennington · Oct 24Juliana LimaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Nina Ansaroff · Nov 14W
vs Ericka Almeida · May 15W
vs JJ Aldrich · Dec 16L
SUBvs Tecia Torres · Jul 17L
vs Randa Markos · Jan 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carla EsparzaMetricJuliana Lima
2.19
Strikes / min
1.94
2.87
Strikes absorbed / min
2.11
54%
Strike defense
55%
3.28
TDs / 15 min
1.72
47%
Takedown defense
70%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.68evenly matched on net striking-0.17
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Carla EsparzaJuliana Lima
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carla Esparza(10 fights)Juliana Lima(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.016.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+77.0-77.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Carla Esparza
StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights15
Juliana Lima
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights7