Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Randa Markos won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, February 19, 2017·Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Carla Esparza wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Randa Markos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Carla Esparza
Red Corner
VS
Randa Markos
Blue Corner
-260
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
38
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'1"
Height
5'4"
160.02 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carla EsparzaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Jul 20W
KOvs Yan Xiaonan · May 21W
vs Rose Namajunas · May 22L
SUBvs Zhang Weili · Nov 22L
vs Tecia Pennington · Oct 24Randa Markos
oldest →latest
L
vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 20L
SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · Sep 20L
vs Kanako Murata · Nov 20L
vs Luana Pinheiro · May 21W
vs Livinha Souza · Oct 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carla EsparzaMetricRanda Markos
2.19
Strikes / min
2.97
2.87
Strikes absorbed / min
3.10
54%
Strike defense
58%
3.28
TDs / 15 min
1.12
47%
Takedown defense
52%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.68evenly matched on net striking-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Carla EsparzaRanda Markos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carla Esparza(10 fights)Randa Markos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.8-32.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+119.0-119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Carla Esparza
StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights15
Randa Markos
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights17