Women's Strawweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Carla Esparza won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Friday, December 12, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCarla Esparza: WrestlervsRose Namajunas: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Carla Esparza wins(58.0%)
Actual result: Carla Esparza wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rose Namajunas has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Carla Esparza
Red Corner
VS
Rose Namajunas
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
38
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'1"
Height
5'5"
160.02 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carla EsparzaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Jul 20W
KOvs Yan Xiaonan · May 21W
vs Rose Namajunas · May 22L
SUBvs Zhang Weili · Nov 22L
vs Tecia Pennington · Oct 24Rose Namajunas
oldest →latest
W
vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 24W
vs Tracy Cortez · Jul 24L
vs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 24W
vs Miranda Maverick · Jun 25L
vs Natalia Silva · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carla EsparzaMetricRose Namajunas
2.19
Strikes / min
3.50
2.87
Strikes absorbed / min
3.38
54%
Strike defense
63%
3.28
TDs / 15 min
1.47
47%
Takedown defense
62%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.68evenly matched on net striking+0.12
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carla Esparza(10 fights)Rose Namajunas(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Carla Esparza
StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights15
Rose Namajunas
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights19