Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Tatiana Suarez won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 8, 2018·Dallas, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupCarla Esparza: WrestlervsTatiana Suarez: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Carla Esparza wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Tatiana Suarez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Carla Esparza has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tatiana Suarez (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Carla Esparza
Red Corner
VS
Tatiana Suarez
Blue Corner
+335
(23%)
Vegas Odds
-420
(81%)
38
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'1"
Height
5'5"
160.02 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carla EsparzaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Jul 20W
KOvs Yan Xiaonan · May 21W
vs Rose Namajunas · May 22L
SUBvs Zhang Weili · Nov 22L
vs Tecia Pennington · Oct 24Tatiana Suarez
oldest →latest
W
vs Nina Ansaroff · Jun 19W
SUBvs Montana De La Rosa · Feb 23W
SUBvs Jessica Andrade · Aug 23L
vs Zhang Weili · Feb 25W
vs Amanda Lemos · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carla EsparzaMetricTatiana Suarez
2.19
Strikes / min
2.86
2.87
Strikes absorbed / min
1.63
54%
Strike defense
44%
3.28
TDs / 15 min
4.52
47%
Takedown defense
57%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.68Δ 1.91 — meaningful gap+1.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Carla EsparzaTatiana Suarez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carla Esparza(10 fights)Tatiana Suarez(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-45.845.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Carla Esparza
StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights15
Tatiana Suarez
StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights9