Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Gabriella Fernandes won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 15, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCarli Judice: Pressure fightervsGabriella Fernandes: Striker
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Carli Judice wins(58.2%)
Actual result: Gabriella Fernandes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Carli Judice enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Tale of the Tape
Carli Judice
Red Corner
VS
Gabriella Fernandes
Blue Corner
+136
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-162
(62%)
27
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carli JudiceW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Yuneisy Duben · Mar 25W
KOvs Nicolle Caliari · Jul 25W
vs Juliana Miller · Feb 26Gabriella Fernandes
oldest →latest
L
vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Feb 23L
vs Tereza Bleda · Jun 23W
SUBvs Wang Cong · Nov 24W
vs Julija Stoliarenko · Aug 25L
KOvs Casey O'Neill · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carli JudiceMetricGabriella Fernandes
9.32
Strikes / min
3.51
6.62
Strikes absorbed / min
5.31
57%
Strike defense
53%
0.52
TDs / 15 min
0.42
80%
Takedown defense
68%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.70Δ 4.50 — meaningful gap-1.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Carli JudiceGabriella Fernandes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carli Judice(4 fights)Gabriella Fernandes(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.0-32.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.6-49.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.9-49.9
Carli Judice
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4
Gabriella Fernandes
StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights6